Devastating earthquakes strike all over the world without warning.

毁灭性的地震毫无预警地袭击了世界各地。

Sergey Femel is a professor of geophysics at the University of Texas at Austin.

谢尔盖·费梅尔是德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校的地球物理学教授。

Predicting earthquakes is the Holy Grail of the whole seismology so people have been trying to do it for more than 100 years.

预测地震是整个地震学的圣杯，因此人们已经尝试做这件事超过 100 年了。

A team at UT developed a data-driven model for forecasting natural destructive earthquakes using artificial intelligence and Big Data analysis.

德克萨斯大学的一个团队开发了一个基于数据驱动的模型，利用人工智能和大数据分析来预测自然灾害性地震。

And applied it to a real-time earthquake prediction competition that lasted 2 years.

并将其应用于持续两年的实时地震预测竞赛中。

The team leader Yangkang Chen, an assistant professor at UT's Bureau of Economic Geology says they were able to forecast earthquakes with an accuracy of 70%, including magnitude, location, and occurrence, winning the competition.

该团队的领队陈仰康，德克萨斯大学经济地质局的助理教授，表示他们能够预测地震的准确度达到 70％，包括震级、地点和发生时间，并赢得了该竞赛。

Because of the competition, we have a very good data set and the test the bed.

由于竞赛的原因，我们拥有了一个非常好的数据集，并测试了模型的有效性。

Most importantly, that's a real-time test bed.

最重要的是，这是一个实时的试验台。

Chen said the AI model takes input and output predictions and finds patterns something too difficult for humans to do on their own.

陈仰康表示，人工智能模型接受输入和输出预测，并发现人类自己很难做到的模式。

The University team works with TexNet, the Texas Seismological Network where Alexandros Savvaidis is the principal investigator.

该大学团队与德克萨斯地震网络 TexNet 合作，Alexandros Savvaidis 是该网络的首席研究员。

We could identify which are the parameters of the ground motion or the electromagnetic sensor system is changing prior to the earthquakes.

我们可以确定地面运动或电磁传感器系统在地震发生之前发生了哪些参数变化。

And because of that, we can see when in the future those parameters are changing again and when they change, then we expect to have an earthquake.

正因为如此，我们可以看到未来这些参数何时再次变化，当它们发生变化时，我们预计会发生地震。

The team said it has predicted some earthquakes a week in advance, but most were much closer to the quake.

该团队表示，他们成功预测了一些地震发生前一周，但大多数地震发生前时间更接近地震。

The most accurate prediction may come just immediately before the earthquake.

最准确的预测可能就在地震之前。

But for early warning systems, it is sufficient to have just a little bit of time.

但是对于早期预警系统来说，只要有一点点时间就足够了。

The team is using more real-time test beds with the hope of forecasting earthquakes further in advance.

该团队正在使用更多的实时试验台，希望能更提前地预测地震。

Deana Mitchell, VOA news, Austin, Texas.